La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zhizhen Zhang v Daniel Altmaier
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zhizhen Zhang (Local)
Predicción 39.13%2.56momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.713%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%39.21%39.19%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.442.5144.44%41.31%40.98%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Predicción 60.87%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.169%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.265%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%60.79%60.81%62.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.561.551.6468.03%64.23%64.52%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.79%E -0.713%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.52%E -7.15%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 08:40 |
| GTbets | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| ReBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Betsson | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 08:48 |
| FanDuel | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 07:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -0.169%E -0.103%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 07:39 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 13:49 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |