L’École des cotes

Zhizhen Zhang v Daniel Altmaier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (Local)

Prévision 39.13%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%39.21%39.19%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.442.5144.44%41.31%40.98%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.87%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.169%
Avantage -0.103%
Kelly -0.265%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.79%60.81%62.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.561.551.6468.03%64.23%64.52%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.79%E -0.713%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 08:55
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 04:49
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 04:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.52%E -7.15%K -22.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 04:50
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 08:40
GTbets2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 05:39
ReBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 08:05
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 04:50
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 04:49
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 04:49
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 04:50
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 04:49
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 05:39
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 05:39
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 05:40
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 04:49
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 08:48
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 07:30
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:30
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 07:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:15
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 07:34
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 07:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 07:29
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 08:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 07:45
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 08:49
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -0.169%E -0.103%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 07:45
DraftKings2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:09
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 07:09
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 08:45
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 08:15
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 07:39
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 07:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:30
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 13:49
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 07:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 07:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%3.2%2026-05-06 08:45