Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Dino Prizmic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 30.21%3.31fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%30.25%30.31%32.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.3534.48%32.51%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dino Prizmic (Visit)
Prediction 69.79%1.43fair odd
EV -0.899%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.66%69.75%69.69%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4275.76%73.05%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 30.21%; Dino Prizmic (Visit): 69.79%. For Ugo Humbert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 11:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 11:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -5.74%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 11:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.16%EV -0.899%E -0.633%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 21:47 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 10:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.60%E -1.13%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Novig◎ | 3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |