La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ugo Humbert v Dino Prizmic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Predicción 30.21%3.31momio equitativo
EV +1.21%
Ventaja +0.360%
Kelly +0.513%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%30.25%30.31%32.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.083.103.3534.48%32.51%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dino Prizmic (Visitante)
Predicción 69.79%1.43momio equitativo
EV -0.899%
Ventaja -0.633%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.66%69.75%69.69%71.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.361.4275.76%73.05%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 11:02 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 10:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 11:01 |
| 1xBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -5.74%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:55 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 11:03 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| GTbets | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.16%EV -0.899%E -0.633%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 21:47 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 10:55 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 10:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.60%E -1.13%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Bally Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 10:54 |
| Novig | 3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |