La scuola delle quote

Ugo Humbert v Dino Prizmic

Inizio: 2026-05-10 11:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 30.21%3.31quota equa
EV +1.21%
Vantaggio +0.360%
Kelly +0.513%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.42%30.25%30.31%32.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.083.103.3534.48%32.51%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dino Prizmic (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.79%1.43quota equa
EV -0.899%
Vantaggio -0.633%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.66%69.75%69.69%71.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.361.4275.76%73.05%73.53%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 11:04
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:04
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 11:04
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:05
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:04
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 11:02
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 10:49
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 10:50
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:04
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 10:54
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 10:54
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:04
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:54
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 11:04
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:54
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:54
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 11:01
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -5.74%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 11:04
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 08:24
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:54
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:54
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:55
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:49
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 10:49
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:55
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 11:03
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
GTbets3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.16%EV -0.899%E -0.633%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 21:47
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 02:39
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:44
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 10:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 10:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:03
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.60%E -1.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:44
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 06:49
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:49
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 10:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 10:54
Novig3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86%1.5%2026-05-10 11:00
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-05-10 11:04