StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ugo Humbert v Dino Prizmic

Matchstart: 2026-05-10 11:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ugo Humbert (Hemma)

Prognos 30.21%3.31rättvist odds
EV +1.21%
Fördel +0.360%
Kelly +0.513%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.42%30.25%30.31%32.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.083.103.3534.48%32.51%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Dino Prizmic (Borta)

Prognos 69.79%1.43rättvist odds
EV -0.899%
Fördel -0.633%
Kelly -2.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.66%69.75%69.69%71.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.371.361.4275.76%73.05%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ugo Humbert (Hemma): 30.21%; Dino Prizmic (Borta): 69.79%. För Ugo Humbert (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.31. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.21%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 11:04
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.21%E +0.360%K +0.513%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:04
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 11:04
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:05
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.305%E -0.092%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:04
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 11:02
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 10:50
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 10:54
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:54
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 11:04
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:54
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.39%E -3.20%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 11:01
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -5.74%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -2.99%E -2.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 11:04
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:54
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:49
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:04
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 10:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 11:03
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.48%E -4.84%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
GTbets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.16%EV -0.899%E -0.633%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 21:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 02:39
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:44
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.78%E -4.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 10:55
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 10:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.60%E -1.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 06:49
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.29%E -1.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 06:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.69%E -2.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 10:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-10 10:54
Novig3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86%1.5%2026-05-10 11:00
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-05-10 11:04