A Escola das Odds

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Daniil Medvedev

Início: 2026-05-12 19:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Previsão 43.19%2.32odd justa
EV +0.630%
Vantagem +0.270%
Kelly +0.474%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.79%43.05%43.23%46.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.182.202.3350.00%45.89%45.45%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Previsão 56.81%1.76odd justa
EV +0.556%
Vantagem +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.62%56.95%56.77%59.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.671.671.7764.52%59.81%59.70%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004%4.1%2026-05-12 19:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -0.581%E -0.332%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 19:45
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:46
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:45
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:45
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.864%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 19:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:45
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 19:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 19:45
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 19:39
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:46
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:46
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 19:45
ReBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 19:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:37
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 19:38
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 19:41
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 19:45
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:44
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 19:46
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 19:45
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 19:40
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:45
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:46
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.630%E +0.270%K +0.474%G +0.003%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 19:45
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:46
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:46
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.94%E -7.71%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 19:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-05-12 19:45