مدرسة الاحتمالات

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-05-12 19:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.19%2.32السعر العادل
EV +0.630%
الأفضلية +0.270%
Kelly +0.474%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.79%43.05%43.23%46.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.182.202.3350.00%45.89%45.45%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.81%1.76السعر العادل
EV +0.556%
الأفضلية +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.62%56.95%56.77%59.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.671.671.7764.52%59.81%59.70%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004%4.1%2026-05-12 19:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -0.581%E -0.332%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 19:45
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:46
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:45
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:45
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.864%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 19:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:45
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 19:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 19:45
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 19:39
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:46
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:46
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 19:45
ReBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 19:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:37
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 19:38
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 19:41
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 19:45
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:44
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 19:46
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 19:45
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 19:40
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:45
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:46
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.630%E +0.270%K +0.474%G +0.003%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 19:45
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:46
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:46
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.94%E -7.71%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 19:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-05-12 19:45