Szkoła Kursów

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Daniil Medvedev

Początek: 2026-05-12 19:50 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.19%2.32kurs godziwy
EV +0.630%
Przewaga +0.270%
Kelly +0.474%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.79%43.05%43.23%46.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.182.202.3350.00%45.89%45.45%42.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Daniil Medvedev (Goście)

Prognoza 56.81%1.76kurs godziwy
EV +0.556%
Przewaga +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.77

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.62%56.95%56.77%59.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.671.671.7764.52%59.81%59.70%56.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004%4.1%2026-05-12 19:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -0.581%E -0.332%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 19:45
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:46
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:45
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:45
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.864%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 19:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:45
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 19:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 19:45
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 19:39
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:46
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:46
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 19:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 19:45
ReBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 19:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:37
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 19:44
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 19:38
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 19:41
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 19:45
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:44
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 19:46
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 19:45
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 19:40
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:45
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 19:46
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.630%E +0.270%K +0.474%G +0.003%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:45
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 19:45
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:46
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:46
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.94%E -7.71%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 19:44
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-12 19:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-05-12 19:45