La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Predicción 43.19%2.32momio equitativo
EV +0.630%
Ventaja +0.270%
Kelly +0.474%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.79%43.05%43.23%46.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.3350.00%45.89%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 56.81%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.556%
Ventaja +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%56.95%56.77%59.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.671.7764.52%59.81%59.70%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -0.581%E -0.332%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 19:46 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.72%E -0.992%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.96%E -0.864%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 19:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 19:39 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:46 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:46 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| ReBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 19:39 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 19:37 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 19:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 19:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 19:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.42%E -2.47%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 19:41 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 19:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 19:40 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 19:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.630%E +0.270%K +0.474%G +0.003% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 19:46 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 19:46 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.665%E -0.289%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.94%E -7.71%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 19:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Novig | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |