Школа коэффициентов

Roberto Bautista Agut v Francesco Maestrelli

Начало: 2026-05-07 12:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.43%1.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.60%
Преимущество -1.67%
Kelly -4.65%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.56

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.07%62.49%62.50%63.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.78%65.57%64.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Francesco Maestrelli (Гости)

Прогноз 37.57%2.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.828%
Преимущество -0.314%
Kelly -0.505%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.64

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.17%37.51%37.50%38.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.512.502.6441.67%39.85%40.00%37.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 12:40
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 11:35
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 11:35
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 12:15
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 11:25
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:45
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 12:20
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 11:35
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:46
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:44
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:20
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 11:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:40
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 11:50
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:45
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 12:15
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:25
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:45
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:34
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:30
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.46%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:35
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:49
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:50
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:50
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 11:45
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.828%E -0.314%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 12:35
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:00
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:50
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 01:45
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 12:15
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 11:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 11:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 11:25
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.20%E -0.458%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.47%E -6.53%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 11:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-07 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-07 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-07 12:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-05-07 12:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-07 12:35
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%3.1%2026-05-07 12:40