La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Roberto Bautista Agut v Francesco Maestrelli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Predicción 62.43%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%62.49%62.50%63.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.78%65.57%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francesco Maestrelli (Visitante)
Predicción 37.57%2.66momio equitativo
EV -0.828%
Ventaja -0.314%
Kelly -0.505%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.17%37.51%37.50%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.6441.67%39.85%40.00%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 01:46 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:34 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.46%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Betsson | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.828%E -0.314%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.20%E -0.458%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.47%E -6.53%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Novig | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |