Idioma:Português
Roberto Bautista Agut v Francesco Maestrelli
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Previsão 62.43%1.60odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -1.67%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.07%62.49%62.50%63.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.78%65.57%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Francesco Maestrelli (Visitante)
Previsão 37.57%2.66odd justa
EV -0.828%
Vantagem -0.314%
Kelly -0.505%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.64
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.17%37.51%37.50%38.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.512.502.6441.67%39.85%40.00%37.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Roberto Bautista Agut (Local): 62.43%; Francesco Maestrelli (Visitante): 37.57%. Para Francesco Maestrelli (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.64, com valor esperado de -0.828%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 01:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.46%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.828%E -0.314%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.20%E -0.458%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.47%E -6.53%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |