La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Roberto Bautista Agut v Francesco Maestrelli
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Roberto Bautista Agut (Casa)
Previsione 62.43%1.60quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.07%62.49%62.50%63.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.78%65.57%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Francesco Maestrelli (Trasferta)
Previsione 37.57%2.66quota equa
EV -0.828%
Vantaggio -0.314%
Kelly -0.505%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.17%37.51%37.50%38.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.512.502.6441.67%39.85%40.00%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 01:46 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:34 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.46%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Betsson | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.828%E -0.314%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.20%E -0.458%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.47%E -6.53%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Novig | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |