Langue:Français
Roberto Bautista Agut v Francesco Maestrelli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Prévision 62.43%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -4.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%62.49%62.50%63.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.78%65.57%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Francesco Maestrelli (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.57%2.66cote équitable
EV -0.828%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -0.505%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.17%37.51%37.50%38.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.512.502.6441.67%39.85%40.00%37.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Roberto Bautista Agut (Local) : 62.43% ; Francesco Maestrelli (Visiteur) : 37.57%. Pour Francesco Maestrelli (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.66. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.64, pour une espérance de -0.828% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.60%E -1.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 01:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.46%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.828%E -0.314%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.20%E -0.458%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.47%E -6.53%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 12:40 |