语言:简体中文
Pablo Carreno Busta v Alejandro Tabilo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Pablo Carreno Busta (主队)
预测 33.76%2.96公平赔率
EV -1.42%
优势 -0.487%
Kelly -0.740%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.92
博彩公司预测分布
32.46%33.69%33.80%34.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.822.812.9237.04%35.47%35.52%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alejandro Tabilo (客队)
预测 66.24%1.51公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -2.25%
Kelly -7.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.46
博彩公司预测分布
65.06%66.31%66.20%67.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.421.421.4672.99%70.27%70.42%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pablo Carreno Busta (主队)：33.76%；Alejandro Tabilo (客队)：66.24%。 对于“Pablo Carreno Busta (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.96。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.92，期望值为-1.42%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.487%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 15:57 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.82%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 16:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |