La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Pablo Carreno Busta v Alejandro Tabilo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Pablo Carreno Busta (Casa)
Previsione 33.76%2.96quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.487%
Kelly -0.740%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.92
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.46%33.69%33.80%34.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.822.812.9237.04%35.47%35.52%34.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)
Previsione 66.24%1.51quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -2.25%
Kelly -7.15%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.06%66.31%66.20%67.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.421.421.4672.99%70.27%70.42%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.487%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 15:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 15:57 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:45 |
| ReBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| GTbets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.82%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 16:06 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:31 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:36 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| Novig | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |