Die Wettquotenschule

Pablo Carreno Busta v Alejandro Tabilo

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-06 16:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Heim)

Prognose 33.76%2.96faire Quote
EV -1.42%
Vorteil -0.487%
Kelly -0.740%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.46%33.69%33.80%34.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.702.822.812.9237.04%35.47%35.52%34.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts)

Prognose 66.24%1.51faire Quote
EV -3.29%
Vorteil -2.25%
Kelly -7.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.06%66.31%66.20%67.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.371.421.421.4672.99%70.27%70.42%68.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.487%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 16:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 15:45
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 15:35
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 15:36
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 15:36
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:36
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:36
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 15:35
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 15:57
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:36
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 15:35
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:35
DraftKings2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:35
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:45
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 15:55
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 16:05
GTbets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.82%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 16:06
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:31
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:36
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:35
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 15:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Novig3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-05-06 16:00