The School of Odds

Pablo Carreno Busta v Alejandro Tabilo

Matchstart: 2026-05-06 16:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Hemma)

Prognos 33.76%2.96rättvist odds
EV -1.42%
Fördel -0.487%
Kelly -0.740%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.92

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.46%33.69%33.80%34.94%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.702.822.812.9237.04%35.47%35.52%34.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Borta)

Prognos 66.24%1.51rättvist odds
EV -3.29%
Fördel -2.25%
Kelly -7.15%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.06%66.31%66.20%67.54%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.371.421.421.4672.99%70.27%70.42%68.49%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.487%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 16:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 15:45
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 15:35
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 15:36
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 15:36
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:36
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:36
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 15:35
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 15:57
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:36
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 15:35
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:35
DraftKings2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:35
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:45
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 15:55
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 16:05
GTbets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.82%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 16:06
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:31
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:36
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:35
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 15:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Novig3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-05-06 16:00