Szkoła Kursów

Pablo Carreno Busta v Alejandro Tabilo

Początek: 2026-05-06 16:10 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 33.76%2.96kurs godziwy
EV -1.42%
Przewaga -0.487%
Kelly -0.740%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.46%33.69%33.80%34.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.822.812.9237.04%35.47%35.52%34.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alejandro Tabilo (Goście)

Prognoza 66.24%1.51kurs godziwy
EV -3.29%
Przewaga -2.25%
Kelly -7.15%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.06%66.31%66.20%67.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.371.421.421.4672.99%70.27%70.42%68.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.487%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 16:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 15:45
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 15:35
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 15:36
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 15:36
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:36
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:36
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.10%E -0.723%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 15:35
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.962%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 15:57
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:36
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 15:35
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:35
DraftKings2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:35
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:45
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 15:55
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 16:05
GTbets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.82%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:35
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 15:35
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 16:06
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:31
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:36
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:35
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 16:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-06 15:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-06 16:05
Novig3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-05-06 16:00