Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mattia Bellucci (Local): 51.37%; Martin Landaluce (Visitante): 48.63%. Para Martin Landaluce (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -1.77%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 08:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 19:23 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.06%E -4.84%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.66%E -2.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.02%E -3.88%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 08:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 08:39 |