Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Mattia Bellucci v Martin Landaluce
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Mattia Bellucci (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 51.37%1.95kurs godziwy
EV -2.40%
Przewaga -1.26%
Kelly -2.67%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.90
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%51.40%51.41%53.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.751.841.851.9057.14%54.21%54.05%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Martin Landaluce (Goście)
Prognoza 48.63%2.06kurs godziwy
EV -1.77%
Przewaga -0.874%
Kelly -1.73%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.95%48.60%48.59%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.871.941.932.0253.48%51.56%51.81%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 08:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 19:23 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.06%E -4.84%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| GTbets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.66%E -2.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 07:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.02%E -3.88%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:25 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:34 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:35 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 08:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 08:39 |