La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Mattia Bellucci v Martin Landaluce
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mattia Bellucci (Casa)
Previsione 51.37%1.95quota equa
EV -2.40%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -2.67%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.40%51.41%53.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.841.851.9057.14%54.21%54.05%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Martin Landaluce (Trasferta)
Previsione 48.63%2.06quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.874%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.95%48.60%48.59%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.941.932.0253.48%51.56%51.81%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 08:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 19:23 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.06%E -4.84%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| GTbets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.66%E -2.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 07:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.02%E -3.88%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:25 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:34 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:35 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 08:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 08:39 |