La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mattia Bellucci v Martin Landaluce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mattia Bellucci (Local)
Predicción 51.37%1.95momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.40%51.41%53.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.841.851.9057.14%54.21%54.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Martin Landaluce (Visitante)
Predicción 48.63%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.95%48.60%48.59%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.941.932.0253.48%51.56%51.81%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.40%E -1.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 08:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:40 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.43%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 19:23 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.06%E -4.84%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 08:34 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 06:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.28%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| GTbets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.68%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 06:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.66%E -2.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 07:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 03:25 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 03:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.77%E -0.874%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.02%E -3.88%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 08:25 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:34 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 03:35 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 08:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 08:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 08:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 08:39 |