Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.00
assuming max odds 1.32
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 26.14%; Dino Prizmic (Visit): 73.86%. For Marton Fucsovics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.57%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.57%E +1.14%K +1.52%G +0.070% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.649%E +0.169%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.126%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.53%E -0.958%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -2.51%E -1.90%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |