StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marton Fucsovics v Dino Prizmic

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-06 18:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marton Fucsovics (Heim)

Prognose 26.14%3.83faire Quote
EV +4.57%
Vorteil +1.14%
Kelly +1.52%
Wachstum +0.070%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.81%26.26%26.08%28.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.563.504.0030.30%28.06%28.57%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Dino Prizmic (Auswärts)

Prognose 73.86%1.35faire Quote
EV -2.51%
Vorteil -1.90%
Kelly -7.84%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.32

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.74%73.74%73.92%76.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.51%77.52%75.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marton Fucsovics (Heim): 26.14%; Dino Prizmic (Auswärts): 73.86%. Für Marton Fucsovics (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.83. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.57%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.57%E +1.14%K +1.52%G +0.070%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:40
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.649%E +0.169%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Pinnacle🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.126%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 18:40
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 18:39
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:39
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:39
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:41
DraftKings🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.53%E -0.958%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 18:46
LowVig.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 18:40
GTbets🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -2.51%E -1.90%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 18:29
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:46
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:40
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:46
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:40
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:40
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:45
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 18:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%2.7%2026-05-06 18:45
Novig3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%3.0%2026-05-06 18:45