Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marton Fucsovics v Dino Prizmic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 18:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV +4.57%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%26.26%26.08%28.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.504.0030.30%28.06%28.57%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dino Prizmic (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.86%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -7.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%73.74%73.92%76.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.51%77.52%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marton Fucsovics (Local) : 26.14% ; Dino Prizmic (Visiteur) : 73.86%. Pour Marton Fucsovics (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.57%E +1.14%K +1.52%G +0.070%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:40
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.649%E +0.169%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Pinnacle🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.126%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 18:40
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 18:39
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:39
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:39
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:41
DraftKings🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.53%E -0.958%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 18:46
LowVig.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 18:40
GTbets🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -2.51%E -1.90%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 18:29
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:46
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:40
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:46
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:40
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:40
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:40
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:45
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:40
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 18:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%2.7%2026-05-06 18:45
Novig3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%3.0%2026-05-06 18:45