La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marton Fucsovics v Dino Prizmic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Predicción 26.14%3.83momio equitativo
EV +4.57%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.070%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%26.26%26.08%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.504.0030.30%28.06%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dino Prizmic (Visitante)
Predicción 73.86%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -7.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%73.74%73.92%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.51%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.57%E +1.14%K +1.52%G +0.070% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.649%E +0.169%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.126%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.658%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| ReBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:41 |
| DraftKings | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.53%E -0.958%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| GTbets | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -2.51%E -1.90%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.20%E -4.88%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.68%E -6.14%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.25%E -2.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.99%E -3.07%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.46%E -4.27%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Novig | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |