StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jesper De Jong v Nuno Borges

Matchstart: 2026-05-06 14:25 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jesper De Jong (Hemma)

Prognos 45.12%2.22rättvist odds
EV -1.64%
Fördel -0.754%
Kelly -1.39%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.30%45.15%45.17%47.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.62%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nuno Borges (Borta)

Prognos 54.88%1.82rättvist odds
EV -1.21%
Fördel -0.673%
Kelly -1.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.88%54.85%54.83%55.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.04%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jesper De Jong (Hemma): 45.12%; Nuno Borges (Borta): 54.88%. För Nuno Borges (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.82. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.80, med väntevärdet -1.21%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:30
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:30
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 12:54
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 12:59
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:11
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 07:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:30
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:09
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 22:34
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:29
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 08:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:19
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:30
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:19
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 07:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.61%E -3.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 07:20
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 00:00
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.21%E -0.673%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 21:20
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-06 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-06 14:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-06 14:20
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-06 14:20
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-05-06 14:15
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%1.8%2026-05-06 14:20