Sprache:Deutsch
Jesper De Jong v Nuno Borges
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Jesper De Jong (Heim)
Prognose 45.12%2.22faire Quote
EV -1.64%
Vorteil -0.754%
Kelly -1.39%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.18
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.30%45.15%45.17%47.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.62%47.62%45.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Nuno Borges (Auswärts)
Prognose 54.88%1.82faire Quote
EV -1.21%
Vorteil -0.673%
Kelly -1.52%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.88%54.85%54.83%55.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.04%58.14%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jesper De Jong (Heim): 45.12%; Nuno Borges (Auswärts): 54.88%. Für Nuno Borges (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.82. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.80, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.21%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 22:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.61%E -3.19%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.21%E -0.673%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 1.8% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |