La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jesper De Jong v Nuno Borges
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Jesper De Jong (Casa)
Previsione 45.12%2.22quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -0.754%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%45.15%45.17%47.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.62%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Nuno Borges (Trasferta)
Previsione 54.88%1.82quota equa
EV -1.21%
Vantaggio -0.673%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.88%54.85%54.83%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.04%58.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 14:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:59 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:11 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 22:34 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.61%E -3.19%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 00:00 |
| GTbets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.21%E -0.673%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 21:20 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Novig | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 1.8% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |