La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jesper De Jong v Nuno Borges
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jesper De Jong (Local)
Predicción 45.12%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.754%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.15%45.17%47.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.62%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nuno Borges (Visitante)
Predicción 54.88%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.88%54.85%54.83%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.04%58.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 14:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:59 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:11 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 22:34 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.61%E -3.19%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 00:00 |
| GTbets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.21%E -0.673%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 21:20 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Novig | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 1.8% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |