StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Jesper De Jong v Nuno Borges

Aanvang: 2026-05-06 14:25 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

60 wedaanbieders (22 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Jesper De Jong (Thuis)

Prognose 45.12%2.22margevrije odds
EV -1.64%
Voordeel -0.754%
Kelly -1.39%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.18

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
44.30%45.15%45.17%47.12%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.62%47.62%45.87%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Nuno Borges (Uit)

Prognose 54.88%1.82margevrije odds
EV -1.21%
Voordeel -0.673%
Kelly -1.52%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.80

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
52.88%54.85%54.83%55.70%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.04%58.14%55.56%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Jesper De Jong (Thuis): 45.12%; Nuno Borges (Uit): 54.88%. Voor Nuno Borges (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 1.82. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau: de beste waren 1.80, met een verwachtingswaarde van -1.21%; ze leverden geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (60 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.09%E -0.965%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:30
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:30
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 12:54
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 12:59
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:11
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 07:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:30
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:09
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 22:34
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:29
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 08:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:19
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:30
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:19
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.15%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 07:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.61%E -3.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 07:20
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 00:00
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.21%E -0.673%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 21:20
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-06 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-06 14:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-06 14:20
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-06 14:20
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-05-06 14:15
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%1.8%2026-05-06 14:20