A Escola das Odds

Jenson Brooksby v Sebastian Baez

Início: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Previsão 24.99%4.00odd justa
EV +0.207%
Vantagem +0.052%
Kelly +0.069%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.76%25.06%24.98%26.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.763.804.0128.57%26.61%26.32%24.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sebastian Baez (Visitante)

Previsão 75.01%1.33odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -5.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.62%74.94%75.02%76.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.91%78.74%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.207%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 07:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:45
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 07:49
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 07:45
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 08:48
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:45
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:00
ReBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:05
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:45
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:44
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:45
BetOnline.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:04
LowVig.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:04
Pinnacle3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -2.49%E -1.91%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 08:45
SportsBet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:55
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:44
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:44
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:45
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 03:58
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 07:45
GTbets3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 07:48
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:45
FanDuel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 07:55
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 03:44
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 07:54
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 07:45
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.74%E -6.29%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 08:49
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 03:45
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 03:39
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 03:49
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 03:49
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:45
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 08:55
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 08:55
DraftKings3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -9.29%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:29
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 03:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 04:30
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 03:40
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 03:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 03:40
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 08:04
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 03:50
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 08:04
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 03:50
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 07:49
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 03:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-05-06 07:15
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%2.8%2026-05-06 08:55