مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jenson Brooksby v Sebastian Baez

البداية: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jenson Brooksby (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.99%4.00السعر العادل
EV +0.207%
الأفضلية +0.052%
Kelly +0.069%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.76%25.06%24.98%26.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.763.804.0128.57%26.61%26.32%24.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sebastian Baez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 75.01%1.33السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -5.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.62%74.94%75.02%76.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.91%78.74%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.207%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 07:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:45
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 07:49
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 07:45
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 08:48
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:45
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:00
ReBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:05
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:45
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:44
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:45
BetOnline.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:04
LowVig.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:04
Pinnacle3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -2.49%E -1.91%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 08:45
SportsBet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:55
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:44
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:44
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:45
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:45
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 03:58
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 07:45
GTbets3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 07:48
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:45
FanDuel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 07:55
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 03:44
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 07:54
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 07:45
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.74%E -6.29%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 08:49
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 03:45
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 03:39
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 03:49
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 03:49
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 07:45
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 08:55
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 08:55
DraftKings3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -9.29%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 03:29
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 03:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 04:30
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 03:40
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 03:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 03:40
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 08:04
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 03:50
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 08:04
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 03:50
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 07:49
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 03:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-05-06 07:15
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%2.8%2026-05-06 08:55