Langue:Français
Jenson Brooksby v Sebastian Baez
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jenson Brooksby (Local)
Prévision 24.99%4.00cote équitable
EV +0.207%
Avantage +0.052%
Kelly +0.069%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.01
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%25.06%24.98%26.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.804.0128.57%26.61%26.32%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.01%1.33cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -5.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.62%74.94%75.02%76.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.91%78.74%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jenson Brooksby (Local) : 24.99% ; Sebastian Baez (Visiteur) : 75.01%. Pour Jenson Brooksby (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.00. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.01, soit une espérance positive de +0.207%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.207%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 07:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 07:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 08:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -2.49%E -1.91%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 03:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 07:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 03:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 07:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.74%E -6.29%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 03:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 03:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 03:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -9.29%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 04:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 03:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 03:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 03:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 07:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |