La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jenson Brooksby v Sebastian Baez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jenson Brooksby (Local)
Predicción 24.99%4.00momio equitativo
EV +0.207%
Ventaja +0.052%
Kelly +0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%25.06%24.98%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.763.804.0128.57%26.61%26.32%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Predicción 75.01%1.33momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -5.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%74.94%75.02%76.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.91%78.74%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.207%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 07:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 07:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 08:48 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:00 |
| ReBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -4.29%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -2.49%E -1.91%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:44 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:44 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 03:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| GTbets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 07:48 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 03:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 07:54 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.74%E -6.29%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 03:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 03:49 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 03:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -9.29%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 03:29 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 04:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 03:50 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 08:04 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 03:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 03:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 07:49 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Novig | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |