默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jannik Sinner v Alexei Popyrin

开赛时间: 2026-05-11 13:50 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jannik Sinner (主队)

预测 94.66%1.06公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -2.43%
Kelly -83.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.03

博彩公司预测分布
91.59%94.52%94.65%96.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.67%99.01%97.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alexei Popyrin (客队)

预测 5.34%18.73公平赔率
EV +49.49%
优势 +1.77%
Kelly +1.83%
增长率 +0.907%

假设最高赔率为 28.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.48%5.48%5.35%8.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0017.0815.8828.009.09%5.85%6.30%3.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jannik Sinner (主队):94.66%;Alexei Popyrin (客队):5.34%。 对于“Alexei Popyrin (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为18.73。 当时有19家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为28.00,对应+49.49%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +49.49%E +1.77%K +1.83%G +0.907%2.6%2026-05-11 12:59
Pinnacle🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 96.31%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%26.59I 3.76%NM 3.69%EV +41.97%E +1.58%K +1.64%G +0.688%1.8%2026-05-11 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%2.9%2026-05-11 13:35
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +22.80%E +0.991%K +1.04%G +0.236%3.4%2026-05-11 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.35%EV +17.46%E +0.794%K +0.831%G +0.145%4.5%2026-05-11 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073%3.8%2026-05-11 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%3.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%4.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%4.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%3.3%2026-05-11 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%3.3%2026-05-11 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 12:59
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -3.90%E -0.216%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 12:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.45%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.20I 5.81%NM 5.55%EV -8.17%E -0.475%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.50%E -2.43%K -83.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:00
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:00
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -14.57%E -0.911%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.97%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.75I 6.35%NM 6.03%EV -15.91%E -1.01%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:39
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.47%EV -21.25%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -23.92%E -1.68%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 13:00
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 13:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-05-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-05-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%28.01I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.6%2026-05-11 13:34
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27%26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73%1.8%2026-05-11 13:39