A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Alexei Popyrin

Início: 2026-05-11 13:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 94.66%1.06odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -2.43%
Kelly -83.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.59%94.52%94.65%96.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.67%99.01%97.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexei Popyrin (Visitante)

Previsão 5.34%18.73odd justa
EV +49.49%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescimento +0.907%

pressupondo odds máximas de 28.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.48%5.48%5.35%8.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0017.0815.8828.009.09%5.85%6.30%3.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +49.49%E +1.77%K +1.83%G +0.907%2.6%2026-05-11 12:59
Pinnacle1.02I 98.04%NM 96.31%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%26.59I 3.76%NM 3.69%EV +41.97%E +1.58%K +1.64%G +0.688%1.8%2026-05-11 13:35
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%2.9%2026-05-11 13:35
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +22.80%E +0.991%K +1.04%G +0.236%3.4%2026-05-11 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.35%EV +17.46%E +0.794%K +0.831%G +0.145%4.5%2026-05-11 12:59
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073%3.8%2026-05-11 13:35
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
Coolbet1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%3.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%4.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%4.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%3.3%2026-05-11 13:00
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%3.3%2026-05-11 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 12:59
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -3.90%E -0.216%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 12:58
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 13:00
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 94.45%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.20I 5.81%NM 5.55%EV -8.17%E -0.475%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:59
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.50%E -2.43%K -83.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:00
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:00
ReBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -14.57%E -0.911%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:59
Marathon Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.97%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.75I 6.35%NM 6.03%EV -15.91%E -1.01%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:39
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.47%EV -21.25%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 13:09
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -23.92%E -1.68%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:00
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:59
PlayUp1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Casumo1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
ATG (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 13:00
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 13:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-05-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-05-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%28.01I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.6%2026-05-11 13:34
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27%26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73%1.8%2026-05-11 13:39