La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jannik Sinner v Alexei Popyrin
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jannik Sinner (Casa)
Previsione 94.66%1.06quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -2.43%
Kelly -83.31%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.03
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
91.59%94.52%94.65%96.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.67%99.01%97.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta)
Previsione 5.34%18.73quota equa
EV +49.49%
Vantaggio +1.77%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescita +0.907%
ipotizzando la quota massima 28.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
3.48%5.48%5.35%8.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
11.0017.0815.8828.009.09%5.85%6.30%3.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +49.49%E +1.77%K +1.83%G +0.907% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.31%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 26.59I 3.76%NM 3.69%EV +41.97%E +1.58%K +1.64%G +0.688% | 1.8% | 2026-05-11 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603% | 2.9% | 2026-05-11 13:35 |
| William Hill | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +22.80%E +0.991%K +1.04%G +0.236% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.35%EV +17.46%E +0.794%K +0.831%G +0.145% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 13:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Neds | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -3.90%E -0.216%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 12:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.45%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 17.20I 5.81%NM 5.55%EV -8.17%E -0.475%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.50%E -2.43%K -83.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Coral | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| ReBet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -14.57%E -0.911%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.97%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 15.75I 6.35%NM 6.03%EV -15.91%E -1.01%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Caesars | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| GTbets | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.47%EV -21.25%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 13:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -23.92%E -1.68%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Casumo | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Unibet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| betPARX | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 12:59 |
| Everygame | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 13:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49% | 28.01I 3.57%NM 3.51% | 1.6% | 2026-05-11 13:34 |
| Novig | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27% | 26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73% | 1.8% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |