StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner v Alexei Popyrin

Matchstart: 2026-05-11 13:50 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner (Hemma)

Prognos 94.66%1.06rättvist odds
EV -2.50%
Fördel -2.43%
Kelly -83.31%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
91.59%94.52%94.65%96.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.67%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Borta)

Prognos 5.34%18.73rättvist odds
EV +49.49%
Fördel +1.77%
Kelly +1.83%
Tillväxt +0.907%

med antagandet om högsta odds 28.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.48%5.48%5.35%8.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
11.0017.0815.8828.009.09%5.85%6.30%3.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jannik Sinner (Hemma): 94.66%; Alexei Popyrin (Borta): 5.34%. För Alexei Popyrin (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 18.73. 19 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 28.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +49.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +49.49%E +1.77%K +1.83%G +0.907%2.6%2026-05-11 12:59
Pinnacle🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 96.31%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%26.59I 3.76%NM 3.69%EV +41.97%E +1.58%K +1.64%G +0.688%1.8%2026-05-11 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%2.9%2026-05-11 13:35
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +38.82%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.603%3.8%2026-05-11 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +22.80%E +0.991%K +1.04%G +0.236%3.4%2026-05-11 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%EV -5.34%E -5.34%K +0.000%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.35%EV +17.46%E +0.794%K +0.831%G +0.145%4.5%2026-05-11 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073%3.8%2026-05-11 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +12.12%E +0.577%K +0.606%G +0.073%3.8%2026-05-11 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%3.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%4.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.78%E +0.339%K +0.357%G +0.024%4.0%2026-05-11 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%3.3%2026-05-11 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%3.3%2026-05-11 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 12:59
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +1.44%E +0.076%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-11 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -3.90%E -0.216%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 12:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -4.27%E -0.238%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.45%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.20I 5.81%NM 5.55%EV -8.17%E -0.475%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.50%E -2.43%K -83.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:00
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.24%E -0.543%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:00
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -14.57%E -0.911%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.97%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.75I 6.35%NM 6.03%EV -15.91%E -1.01%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:39
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -19.91%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.47%EV -21.25%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -23.92%E -1.68%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -25.25%E -1.80%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.45%E -3.38%K -172.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.59%E -2.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -33.26%E -2.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 12:59
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 13:00
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.39%E -4.35%K -439.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.27%E -3.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 13:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-05-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-05-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-05-11 13:00
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%28.01I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.6%2026-05-11 13:34
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27%26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73%1.8%2026-05-11 13:39