Language:English
Hamad Medjedovic v Valentin Royer
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Prediction 71.95%1.39fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.93%71.79%73.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.331.3678.74%75.75%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Royer (Visit)
Prediction 28.05%3.56fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.582%
Kelly +0.802%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.17%28.07%28.21%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.6432.26%29.77%29.85%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamad Medjedovic (Local): 71.95%; Valentin Royer (Visit): 28.05%. For Valentin Royer (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +2.12%E +0.582%K +0.802%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -0.127%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -2.65%E -0.764%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.21%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.79%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.15%E -1.58%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 15:42 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |