默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hamad Medjedovic v Valentin Royer

开赛时间: 2026-05-07 16:40 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (23 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hamad Medjedovic (主队)

预测 71.95%1.39公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -5.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.36

博彩公司预测分布
69.98%71.93%71.79%73.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.321.331.3678.74%75.75%75.19%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

Valentin Royer (客队)

预测 28.05%3.56公平赔率
EV +2.12%
优势 +0.582%
Kelly +0.802%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 3.64

博彩公司预测分布
26.17%28.07%28.21%30.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.363.353.6432.26%29.77%29.85%27.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hamad Medjedovic (主队):71.95%;Valentin Royer (客队):28.05%。 对于“Valentin Royer (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.56。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.64,对应+2.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +2.12%E +0.582%K +0.802%G +0.017%5.0%2026-05-07 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-07 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004%4.7%2026-05-07 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004%5.3%2026-05-07 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -0.127%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 16:15
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -2.65%E -0.764%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.21%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 15:44
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.79%K -31.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:44
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:49
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:44
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 15:44
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.15%E -1.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 15:45
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 15:50
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 15:44
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 15:45
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:45
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 15:45
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 15:42
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:30
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-07 16:30
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%2.9%2026-05-07 16:30