Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hamad Medjedovic v Valentin Royer

Início: 2026-05-07 16:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Previsão 71.95%1.39odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -5.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%71.93%71.79%73.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.321.331.3678.74%75.75%75.19%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Valentin Royer (Visitante)

Previsão 28.05%3.56odd justa
EV +2.12%
Vantagem +0.582%
Kelly +0.802%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.17%28.07%28.21%30.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.353.6432.26%29.77%29.85%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hamad Medjedovic (Local): 71.95%; Valentin Royer (Visitante): 28.05%. Para Valentin Royer (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.56. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.64, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +2.12%E +0.582%K +0.802%G +0.017%5.0%2026-05-07 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-07 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004%4.7%2026-05-07 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004%5.3%2026-05-07 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -0.127%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 16:15
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -2.65%E -0.764%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.21%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 15:44
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.79%K -31.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:44
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:49
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:44
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 15:44
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.15%E -1.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 15:45
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 15:50
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 15:44
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 15:45
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:45
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 15:45
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 15:42
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:30
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-07 16:25
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-07 16:30
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%2.9%2026-05-07 16:30