La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hamad Medjedovic v Valentin Royer
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Predicción 71.95%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -5.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%71.93%71.79%73.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.331.3678.74%75.75%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Valentin Royer (Visitante)
Predicción 28.05%3.56momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.582%
Kelly +0.802%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.17%28.07%28.21%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.353.6432.26%29.77%29.85%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +2.12%E +0.582%K +0.802%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.19%E -5.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.996%E +0.277%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -0.127%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 16:15 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -2.65%E -0.764%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.21%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.79%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.59%E -2.68%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Casumo | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| Betsson | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:49 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| ReBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.15%E -1.58%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 15:50 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 15:44 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 15:42 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.31%E -3.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |