Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dino Prizmic v Novak Djokovic

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 15:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Prediction 33.68%2.97fair odd
EV +8.45%
Edge +2.62%
Kelly +3.81%
Growth +0.322%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.85%33.81%33.65%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.803.2238.46%35.66%35.71%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Novak Djokovic (Visit)

Prediction 66.32%1.51fair odd
EV -0.521%
Edge -0.347%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%66.19%66.35%70.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.431.5072.99%70.01%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dino Prizmic (Local): 33.68%; Novak Djokovic (Visit): 66.32%. For Dino Prizmic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +8.45%E +2.62%K +3.81%G +0.322%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 15:29
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.17%E -2.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 15:24
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:20
Bet Right🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.00%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.34%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:24
DraftKings🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:25
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:25
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 15:25
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.35%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:25
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:29
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:24
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:24
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:21
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:35
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 15:24
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:24
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:29
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:34
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:25
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:34
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 15:25
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 15:24
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:29
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.76%E -4.49%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.521%E -0.347%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.85%E -1.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:35
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:34
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-05-08 15:34
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-05-08 15:34