Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dino Prizmic v Novak Djokovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 15:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Prévision 33.68%2.97cote équitable
EV +8.45%
Avantage +2.62%
Kelly +3.81%
Croissance +0.322%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.85%33.81%33.65%36.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.2238.46%35.66%35.71%31.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Novak Djokovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.32%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.521%
Avantage -0.347%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.59%66.19%66.35%70.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.431.5072.99%70.01%69.93%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dino Prizmic (Local) : 33.68% ; Novak Djokovic (Visiteur) : 66.32%. Pour Dino Prizmic (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.97. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.22, soit une espérance positive de +8.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +8.45%E +2.62%K +3.81%G +0.322%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 15:29
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.17%E -2.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 15:24
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:20
Bet Right🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.00%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.34%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:24
DraftKings🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:25
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:25
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 15:25
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.35%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:25
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:29
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:24
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:24
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:21
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:35
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 15:24
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:24
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:29
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:34
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:25
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:34
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 15:25
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 15:24
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:29
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.76%E -4.49%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.521%E -0.347%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.85%E -1.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:35
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:34
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-05-08 15:34
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-05-08 15:34