A Escola das Odds

Dino Prizmic v Novak Djokovic

Início: 2026-05-08 15:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Previsão 33.68%2.97odd justa
EV +8.45%
Vantagem +2.62%
Kelly +3.81%
Crescimento +0.322%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.85%33.81%33.65%36.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.803.2238.46%35.66%35.71%31.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Novak Djokovic (Visitante)

Previsão 66.32%1.51odd justa
EV -0.521%
Vantagem -0.347%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.59%66.19%66.35%70.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.371.431.431.5072.99%70.01%69.93%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +8.45%E +2.62%K +3.81%G +0.322%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 15:29
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.17%E -2.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 15:24
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:25
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:20
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.00%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.34%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:25
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:25
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:24
DraftKings2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:25
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:29
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:25
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 15:25
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:34
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 15:25
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.35%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:25
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:24
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:29
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:25
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:24
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:24
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:21
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:35
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 15:24
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:24
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:29
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:35
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:34
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:25
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:34
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:24
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:35
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 15:25
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 15:24
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:29
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.76%E -4.49%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.521%E -0.347%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.85%E -1.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:35
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-08 15:34
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-05-08 15:34
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-05-08 15:34