La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dino Prizmic v Novak Djokovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dino Prizmic (Local)
Predicción 33.68%2.97momio equitativo
EV +8.45%
Ventaja +2.62%
Kelly +3.81%
Crecimiento +0.322%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.85%33.81%33.65%36.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.803.2238.46%35.66%35.71%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Predicción 66.32%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.521%
Ventaja -0.347%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.59%66.19%66.35%70.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.431.431.5072.99%70.01%69.93%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +8.45%E +2.62%K +3.81%G +0.322% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.17%E -2.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.33%E -0.802%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.00%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.34%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| GTbets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| ReBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.14%E -6.67%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.35%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Fliff | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.49%E -4.60%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.50%E -3.13%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.16%E -3.61%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.83%E -4.10%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.15%E -5.11%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.76%E -4.49%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.521%E -0.347%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.85%E -1.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Novig | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |