Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Prediction 21.74%4.60fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.692%
Kelly +0.876%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.03%21.82%21.90%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.354.7525.00%22.85%22.99%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Visit)

Prediction 78.26%1.28fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -8.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%78.18%78.10%79.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.77%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 21.74%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 78.26%. For Alexander Blockx (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 10:45
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:39
Pinnacle🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 21.02%EV +1.33%E +0.285%K +0.363%G +0.005%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.98%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 10:49
FanDuel🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.11%E +0.239%K +0.305%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.28%E -0.282%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:49
DraftKings🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.71%E -0.379%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:54
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 10:44
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:25
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:09
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 10:09
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:09
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:49
GTbets🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.00%EV -6.72%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.00%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:09
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:25
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:24
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:40
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:50
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.18%E -1.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 06:20
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 09:54
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:39
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:49
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:22
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:49
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:54
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:50
Novig4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%4.1%2026-05-10 10:40